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What odds do Penguins' 2022 draft picks have of reaching NHL?

The Penguins have five selections in next month's NHL draft: First round (21st overall), fourth round (118th overall), fifth round (150th overall), sixth round (182nd overall), and seventh round (214th overall).

What can the past tell us about the odds of those picks panning out for the Penguins?

In 2018, TSN's Scott Cullen conducted a study analyzing all players drafted between 1990 and 2014 and assigned each player a ranking based on the following criteria:

10 - Generational talent
9 - Elite player
8 - First-line forward, top-pair D
7 - Top-six forward, top-four D
6 - Top-nine forward, top-six D
5 - NHL regular, 350+ NHL games
4 - 200+ NHL games
3 - 50-200 NHL games
2 - under 50 NHL games
1 - 10 or fewer NHL games

Using Cullen's data, we can estimate the average impact of a player based on their draft position.