Kenny Pickett can’t be blamed for anything. Compare him, the first quarterback of the 2022 draft class to San Francisco 49ers’ QB Brock Purdy, the last passer drafted that year, and the offenses they play in might as well be two completely different worlds.
Though it’s difficult to perfectly quantify what a “predictable” offense looks like, there are some stats who can help. NFL data cruncher Arjun Menon posted this chart showing “perfectly covered” each offense and opposing defense has faced this season. Essentially when every player in coverage has a non-negative grade. This chart factored out screen plays that can’t be really “covered” by all coverage men.