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Mike Tomlin’s history coming out of the bye doesn’t add up to Steelers fans’ narrative

There are many things Steelers fans like to complain about. The defense. Play selection. Slow starts. The coaches are also often targets of such complaints. Specifically, Mike Tomlin has taken fire for struggling coming out of a bye. But do the numbers back up the claim?

Coming off of the bye week, the Steelers under Coach Tomlin have a record of 7-4. A winning percentage of 0.636 does not scream of ineptitude. In fact, Mike Tomlin‘s regular-season record is 119–62–1, which gives a winning percentage of 0.657. If using this same winning percentage over an 11-game sample, what would be the predicted record?