Today I am starting my “Wide Receiver Study Series”, similar to my “Quarterback and Running Back Study Series”. With more time this offseason, I wanted to dive deeper into some questions I usually don’t have time for. One of these questions revolved around receiving success. Two datapoints came to mind that I wanted to learn from in this study:
- Expected Points Added (EPA)/pass= expected points after pass play-expected points before
- Success/pass= binary indicator (1=success, 0=unsuccessful) whether the pass was successful
Before the graph comes up, this is important! The chart below is viewing EPA, Success, and pass plays only, so this is a simple starting view.