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Eckert: TE Stat Study 1.0 Using EPA/Success Metrics – 2020

Today I am starting my “Tight End Study Series”, similar to my “Quarterback, Running Back, and Wide Receiver Study Series”. With more time this offseason, I wanted to dive deeper into some questions I usually don’t have time for. One of these questions revolved around Tight Ends in the passing game. Here are the datapoints that I wanted to learn from in this study:

  • Expected Points Added (EPA)/pass = expected points after pass play-expected points before
  • Success/pass = binary indicator (1=success, 0=unsuccessful) whether the pass was successful
  • Pass Plays = binary indicator if the play was a pass play

Before the graph comes up, this is important!