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Eckert: RB Stats Study 1.0 Using Advanced EPA, Success Metrics

Today I am starting my “Running Back Study Series”, similar to the “Quarterback Study Series” I just completed. With more time this offseason, I wanted to dive deeper into some questions I usually don’t have time for. One of these questions revolved around rushing success. Two data points came to mind that I wanted to learn from in this study:

  • Expected Points Added (EPA)/Rush= expected points after rush play-expected points before
  • Success/Rush= binary indicator (1=success, 0=unsuccessful) whether the rush was successful

Before the graph comes up, this is important! The chart below is viewing rushing only, so this is a simple starting view.