This past weekend, I looked at how the Pirates hitters did with respect to their hits tying or taking the lead, a basic and broad way of how players were clutch, and with clutch being a term used looking at the past to describe a moment. But there’s a better framework to use to describe how clutch a player was, and the premise comes from win probability added, or simply WPA.
First, to define the terms used throughout this post (all definitions will be from Fangraphs):
- Win Expectancy the percent chance a particular team will win based on the score, inning, outs, runners on base, and the run environment.