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What are the chances the Pens’ third round pick ends up better than their first rounder?

One thing I noticed while looking at the Penguins’ 2019 draft was how relative little difference some rankings had for Samuel Poulin and Nathan Legare. Poulin was selected 21st overall in the first round. Legare got selected quite a bit after him at 74th overall. But just take a look:

Sam Poulin / Nathan Legare draft ranking comparison

Central Scouting 22 54
Dobber 22 33
Wheeler 31 27
Pronman 33 29
McKenzie 24 59
Button 32 36
Future Consid 23 39
McKeen's 23 83
Hockey News 24 79

The obvious question or takeaway looks that the Pens liked Poulin a bit more than most of these scouting services.