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Does PECOTA like you as much as it likes the Phillies?

There are so many projection systems out there in the world today for baseball, it can make one’s head spin.

ZiPS.

Steamer.

All of them are useful in some ways. For me, I grew up on Baseball Prospectus. Their book, “Baseball Between the Numbers” has been one of the major influences in my baseball philosophy, so when I see their PECOTA projections come out, they’re the ones that I usually defer to when it comes to looking at the season ahead. We’ll look at the other systems over the next few days, but today, let’s look at PECOTA.