Even after taking two of three from the New York Mets over the weekend, the Philadelphia Phillies have just a 4.7 percent chance to reach the postseason according to FanGraphs. So why are projections so down on the Phillies odds despite being just two games out of the second National League Wild Card spot? It probably has something to do with the fact that the next 17 games the Phillies are scheduled to play are against teams with winning records.
The Atlanta Braves are the first team on that slate – they are 89-55 and 14 games ahead of the Phillies in the National League East.