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85 wins?

ESPN.com recently ranked all 30 MLB teams (paywall) using Steamer player projections from Fangraphs to run 10,000 simulations of the 2023 season. And the result? The Phillies are projected to win 85.2 games, good for 12th best in the league.

Projected 2023 wins via ESPN’s Bradford Doolittle:

103 Mets
100 Padres
99 Yankees
99 Braves
94 Rays
93 Astros
92 Cardinals
90 Blue Jays
90 Dodgers
88 Guardians
86 Brewers
85 Phillies
83 Mariners
82 White Sox

Thoughts?— MLB Metrics (@MLBMetrics) December 27, 2022

The Phillies won 87 games in 2022, so this would be an expected decrease in two wins.