Liberty Ballers · Mar 14, 2019
The Shape of Player Performances
Bill Streicher-USA TODAY SportsJoel Embiid is currently averaging about 27 points per game so far this season. In a fantasy land, that could mean that he alternates games of 54 points and 0 points, or games of 26 points and 28 points. In reality though, we know that Joel’s scoring distribution is far smoother. You can see what it looks like exactly in Figure 1, presented as two different density functions.
Figure 1: Joel Embiid points scored distributionJJ Redick is averaging 17.6 points per game, and let’s see what his distribution looks like in Figure 2.
