New Mexico at Arizona St -27.5, 65.5
Arizona St has been significantly overvalued so far this year, having lost both of their games ATS by around 20 points. They blasted New Mexico by 35 last year, but with Pac-12 play starting next week for them with a big home matchup with USC, they may again be looking at an inflated spread. New Mexico runs a similar run-heavy triple-option offense to last week's ASU opponent Cal Poly, and the Lobos are likely to be gunning to end, even if down by a wide margin. Still, the Sun Devils have a huge talent edge, so a 30-point win could easily be in the cards, as it was last season.