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Measuring Orlando City’s Ability to Contend for a Cup

It took Orlando City six seasons after making the move to MLS to make the playoffs. Expectations have been raised for 2021, and I started to wonder what it would take for the Lions to win the MLS Cup. The most obvious answer is some luck. A championship means having calls go your way, balls bounce the right direction, and plenty of injury luck.

I decided to look back at the MLS Cup winners since Orlando City arrived in the league and see how they did on goals scored, goals allowed, and total points. The 2020 season could have messed with that due to a different number of games played, so ultimately we’ll look at points per match to even things out.