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A Look Into The Numbers: The MLS is Back Tournament

Orlando City was the story of the MLS is Back Tournament, stunning the American soccer world with an exhilarating run to the tournament final. This was no Cinderella finding a fairy godmother, either–Orlando was very good for virtually the entire month and occasionally dominated more than credible opposition. Let’s take a closer look.

Expected goals tell the tale

One of my favorite metrics in soccer analysis is expected goals, or xG, which assigns a value between 0 and 1 to every shot based on how likely it is to be a goal. A penalty kick, for instance, goes in about 79% of the time, and so its xG value is 0.