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Win Probability Chart for OSU vs. TCU a Truly Wild Ride

It’s Saturday night at time of typing, and TCU’s probability of a win, after, you know, winning, currently reads 100%.

But boy was OSU sure close to that same mark.

ESPN’s win probability metrics produced by ESPN analytics at one point had OSU with a 96.1% chance to win on the road Saturday in Fort Worth. That dropped just below 50% right before the end of regulation, bounced back at one point to 59.9% in the first overtime but it was all TCU from there.

Here’s a look at the chart, which reads a bit like if you put a heart monitor on me in the morning pre-coffee vs.