Before every college football season, I like to put together a win total projection for the Oklahoma Sooners. The process is kind of a combination of art and science:
- Using my own set of power ratings, I set a point spread for every game on OU’s schedule.
- Based on the point spreads, I determine the likelihood the Sooners will win each game.
- I convert that likelihood to a fraction of a win.
- Lastly, I tally up the fractions of wins to estimate a projected total for the end of the season.