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Ohio State vs. Clemson could depend on passing downs, explosive plays

The Fiesta Bowl is a matchup of the two best teams in college football, and the two most evenly matched teams.

Every unit in this matchup is within the top 4% of average expected points added (EPA) in the country. (If you’re unsure what EPA is, check out the explanation at the beginning of my Penn State preview.) Clemson and Ohio State have the two top defenses in average EPA and two of the top five offenses. SP+ tells a similar story, with Clemson ranking fourth overall and Ohio State first, and all units ranking within the top six.