NC State is a double-digit underdog this weekend, according to the Vegas oddsmakers, and alas, the advanced metrics agree. Doom, doom I tell you! (It probably will end up bad if State again fails to force any turnovers, if I’m being honest.)
SP+ projects a 13-point winning margin for Pittsburgh on Saturday, with the Wolfpack mustering up only 17 points. Which is a totally plausible scenario, considering how good Pitt’s defense has been this season. SP+ rates that group as the fifth-best in the country so far. (NC State’s defense ranks 80th.)
On the bright side, uh, Pitt’s offense ranks just 99th in SP+ so far this season, which is worse than NC State’s (also 80th).