ESPN released its early 2023 FPI projections for college football this week, so between that and SP+, we have a couple data points for what the computatin’ machines think about the ACC. I think SP+ is the better evaluator, but FPI is more optimistic on the Wolfpack.
Here’s the comparison between the two for the entire ACC:
2023 ACC Projections
| Team | Preseason FPI | Preseason SP+ |
|---|---|---|
| Clemson | 8 | 12 |
| FSU | 14 | 11 |
| UNC | 25 | 28 |
| Miami | 29 | 42 |
| Syracuse | 34 | 59 |
| Pitt | 35 | 40 |
| NC State | 36 | 46 |
| Louisville | 46 | 36 |
| Wake Forest | 47 | 52 |
| Duke | 53 | 56 |
| Virginia Tech | 63 | 69 |
| Georgia Tech | 65 | 70 |
| UVA | 72 | 76 |
| Boston College | 74 | 72 |
FPI and SP+ both project the same modest improvement for NC State this fall, basically: SP+ had NC State at 49 after 2022, while FPI had State at 39.