NC State currently occupies similar territory in the Pomeroy Ratings as it did a season ago, and as far as KenPom is concerned, this Wolfpack group is headed to another 5-13 finish in ACC games. That may end up being the case--no doubt the aggregate numbers through six games support such a conclusion.
However, the UNC game carries heavy weight in State's evaluation since we're only talking about six games, and since that is a massive outlier (y'know, probably), NC State's offense probably isn't getting as much credit as it deserves for its performance in league games.
First, here's NC State's statistics--including the UNC game--compared to how the Pack performed in ACC games last season.