Sports Illustrated’s computer projection system is confident in improvement from NC State this season, while the Pomeroy Ratings, on the other hand, ... not so much. State is No. 109 in the initial KenPom ratings for 2018, which is also exactly where State finished last season.
Coaching changes are difficult to account for, which is why it’s a good idea to take this projection with a larger grain of salt than usual. The Pomeroy Ratings don’t see the Wolfpack improving on its four conference wins from last season, which strikes me as overly pessimistic.