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Fantasy top 100 forwards: Positive regression trends

Every Tuesday during the season, NHL.com fantasy hockey insider Pete Jensen provides in-depth forward analysis. From updated weekly top-100 rankings to trending players and more, Jensen is your go-to guy for fantasy forward advice all season long.

The midway point of the season is an appropriate time to evaluate abnormally high and low shooting percentages and see where regression to the mean can help predict fantasy value.

Although there can be exceptions, history provides a strong indication of shooting percentage trends. Last season, the shooting percentage leader among those with 200-plus shots on goal was Steven Stamkos (16 percent), with no other player above 14.