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Football Outsiders · Oct 14, 2019

OFI: South Carolina Shakes Up Playoff Race

This was probably the most dense week of college football yet, with multiple close and consequential games. Let's start with the big upset of the weekend -- South Carolina's 20-17 win over Georgia. A quick read of the box score would suggest that the Bulldogs would have won if not for Jake Fromm's three interceptions and a lost fumble, since the Gamecocks didn't turn the ball over on the day. And while his -0.36 expected points added was his worst of the season by far (he averaged 0.39 EPA per play in his other five games), Fromm's off day wasn't entirely responsible for this upset. I'd argue that, at least in hindsight, it's easy to see the roots of this upset going back to the offense's struggles against Notre Dame and somewhat against Tennessee as well.

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