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In-game win probability: New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos

Below is a win probability chart for the game between the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos. The numbers here are based on data from ESPN Stats & Information.

Win probability measures the chance that a team will win a game in progress, given a particular combination of circumstances including score, time remaining, field position, down and to-go distance. Win probability is based on a model built on actual NFL outcomes from recent seasons that featured similar circumstances.