The Superstar:
Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs—Even with an expected 10-15% regression, Mahomes still comes out way ahead on my tiers. Additionally, he plays for a coach who is a play calling mastermind and he has some of the top skills players in the NFL (Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins) playing alongside of him.
If I miss out on Mahomes, these are the consolation prizes:
Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans—I worry about the offensive line issues in Houston, but Watson himself took some blame for not getting the ball out quickly enough last season.