Back to the NFL Newsfeed

ESPN: Early AFC Projections for 2015

As I did a year ago, I've done a "quick version" of 2015 projections for ESPN Insider. These are not the official projections that will appear in FOA 2015. They simply regress DVOA to the mean for offense, defense, and special teams each separately, then make some small changes based on injury rates last year and certain personnel changes. The big story out of the AFC projections: Miami, which was pretty good last year except on special teams, should challenge New England for the AFC East title. In fact, if Tom Brady is suspended at all for "Deflategate," the Dolphins become the favorites according to these "quick-and-dirty" projections -- the division favorites and, thanks to Denver's harder schedule, the conference favorites as well.