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Conference Championships Quick Reads/DVOA Ratings

by Aaron Schatz (DVOA Ratings) and Vincent Verhei (Quick Reads)

As usual after the conference championship games, we're not going to bother with the full 32-team table of weighted DVOA ratings, since there are only two teams left and most teams haven't played for three weeks. We'll just take a quick look at both teams followed by Quick Reads.

The early line has New England as a small favorite in Super Bowl LIII. DVOA disagrees, but how much DVOA disagrees depends on whether you want to use weighted DVOA, which only includes the last 14 weeks and gives more strength to recent games, or total DVOA, which measures every game equally going all the way back to Week 1.