NFL Offseason - For the last two years, I have presented a set of very, very early DVOA projections immediately after the Super Bowl. It's time to do the same projections for 2023. They were a lot harder to do this year.
The original goal of the way too early projections in 2021 was to try to adjust for games where teams had COVID issues or were stuck with backup quarterbacks for large stretches of time. The 2022 projections were the same. Essentially, I am trying to say "this is what the team's offensive DVOA would have been in 2022 with the same starting quarterback all year.