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Football Outsiders · May 10, 2022

2022 Cost-Benefit Analysis: Christian Kirk Breaks Wideouts

NFL Offseason - Did Christian Kirk break the NFL?

Kirk was an intriguing prospect when free agency began. His 2021 season saw him set career highs with a 23.2% DVOA and 286 DYAR, not to mention 77 receptions and 982 receiving yards. It was his first above-average season, but he'll be just 26 in 2022. Experts were projecting him to get somewhere around $10 million a year in free agency, which would place him at about the 25th-highest paid receiver in football. A bargain for a team willing to gamble that 2021 wasn't a fluke season, but rather the first step in his development.

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