To stand any chance of defending the Carabao Cup, Newcastle must do two things they have never achieved at the Etihad Stadium under Eddie Howe - score a goal and win a game.
The scale of their task gets harder still when set against history. No Newcastle manager has won there in more than a decade and it will need a performance of a lifetime to reverse this tie, the sort they produced in winning last season's final against Liverpool.
That feels unlikely, especially given the manner in which City won here.