FanGraphs currently have the Yankees’ postseason chances at 100 percent. To win the division? Also 100 percent. Of course, it is not actually 100 percent, but it surely is very close. That is where their magic number comes in.
As of Thursday morning, the team’s magic number to clinch the division was at 12. This means that any combination of 12 Yankees wins and Rays losses will give the Bronx Bombers their first division title in seven years. That means that the earliest they can clinch would be Wednesday, September 11th– if the Rays loses their next six games and the Yankees win their next six.