The conventional wisdom is that luck matters the most when it comes to playoff success. The series are short and the sample size is small, so the team that gets hot at the right moment is the one who will come out on top. While there might be a kernel of truth there, when your championship drought has now gone on for 16 seasons, as is the case with the New York Yankees, the small sample argument stops holding water.
That's exactly the point Michael Kay made when he said that he doesn't want to hear "the playoffs are a crapshoot.