Baseball's draft can be pretty predictable. Not on a pick-to-pick basis -- no prognosticator can predict even half of the picks right, and that includes the scouts and execs making some of the picks -- but on the whole, things go as expected. There are slot values associated with every pick, and those add up to a club's total bonus pool. The vast majority of picks sign for basically that suggested amount, and under the draft rules of the past two CBAs, a team has never gone more than 5% over its entire pool (because that's where penalties begin).
How one baseball team could change MLB draft strategy forever
