On Tuesday, Baseball Prospectus released its PECOTA projections for the 2021 season, and New York Mets fans have plenty to be excited about.
According to the PECOTA standings, the Mets have a whopping 77.4% chance of winning the NL East and are projected to win 95.5 games. Before we get into these numbers, let’s look at what PECOTA is.
PECOTA stands for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm. According to the Baseball Prospectus website, PECOTA uses players’ past performances to project how they’ll most likely do in the following season, and how that affects their respective teams.