If you took a poll of New York Jets fans asking why the team lost to the Kansas City Chiefs, the most prevalent responses would likely be “Zach Wilson‘s fumble” or “the referees.” To a large extent, both of those answers can be correct, as we’ll see. Still, in virtually any one-score NFL game, the deciding plays are produced by a series of taken and missed opportunities that converge to final key moments.
Looking back at the swings in win probability throughout the Jets-Chiefs game reveals exactly what those opportunities were for the Jets.