During the New York Jets‘ offseason, it’s easy to fall into the statistical prediction trap. 4,000 passing yards, 30 passing touchdowns, 1,000 rushing yards, 1,300 receiving yards, and other lofty numbers are thrown around.
There is an inherent fallacy of looking to such benchmarks with a 17th game and a changing offensive landscape. However, another, more insidious trap is laid by these statistics. To be an effective offense, more than putting up big numbers, efficiency is critical.
Long-time readers of Jet X will know that we often list rate or unit statistics. Knowing that a running back rushed for over 100 yards in a game or 1,000 yards in a season tells us only that he likely took a bunch of carries.