I certainly have a habit of complicating things.
I like go the extra mile, to research heavily before an answer, to build out more and more detailed betting models before making any bets or recommendations, but sometimes that's not always necessary.
And, to be 100% honest, this ended up being one of those times.
I already had written the introduction to this piece about not complicating things and then went ahead and complicated the whole damn thing anyway.
But I wanted to apply a more simplified approach to NFL team win total over/unders than I would otherwise.