Using the New York Times’ playoff simulator, I compiled a table that showcases the New York Jets‘ expected odds of making the 2022-23 NFL Playoffs for every possible scenario that could play out over the team’s final four games (excluding ties). Take a look:
One thing immediately jumps out: That Week 18 game in Miami is going to be extremely important, no matter how you slice it.
Even if the Jets head into Miami on a three-game win streak, losing to the Dolphins would likely require New York to get some help to make it into the playoffs.