The analytics case against firing Claude Julien

After coaching the New York Islanders to a 17-17-8 record and last place in the Metropolitan Division, Jack Capuano was fired Jan. 17. Meanwhile, the Boston Bruins' 23-21-6 record has fueled rumors that coach Claude Julien could be next.

A closer look at each coach's and team's underlying numbers reveals why the two situations are hardly comparable and why the Bruins should keep Julien.

First of all, the Islanders were believed to have a highly competitive roster but have been a profound disappointment, while the Bruins were seen as wild-card contenders at best and have merely been on the wrong side of some bounces.

As for their coaches, Julien has a long track record of success in three…