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Ten Years of Trotz: Shot Metrics, Expected Goals, and Sustainability for the Islanders in Year 2 Under Barry Trotz

For those following the discussion of the Islanders this past season online, particularly the discussion in analytics circles, there’s been a serious question of whether the Isles have been playing over their heads. In fact, most models and analysts did conclude that the Isles were getting fluky results to some extent last season, and that a cool down of some sort should be expected, perhaps from their goalies coming down to earth or from their overall shooting numbers declining.

To make it clear here, I’m not talking about typical analyst snobbery about the Islanders as this small market team who no one watches.