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NFL Week 13 picks: Patriots beat Bills; Lions (yes, those Lions) lock of the week

Maybe it’s picks fatigue, or the fact I’ve had back-to-back losing weeks after boasting about a 10-win Week 10 (will you ever learn, Joe?), but I don’t have a great feel for this week’s slate of games. Sure, I like a few but a bunch could go either way. As I always say, pinpoint the one or two you feel strongly about and focus on those. Let us get all the other ones wrong.

Underdogs went 7-8 against the spread (ATS) last week but still have a big advantage for the season at 96-81-2. There are a whopping seven home underdogs this week.