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How well have NFL teams done with the fourth quarterback in the draft?

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Pretty well, but not always for the reasons you imagine

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2024 CFP National Championship - Michigan v Washington
Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

An inordinate amount of attention has been focused on the supposed “fourth-best” quarterback in the NFL Draft, Michigan’s J.J. McCarthy, in recent weeks. McCarthy’s journey through the prospect rankings has been an interesting one:

Courtesy of NFL Mock Draft Database

McCarthy spent most of the 2023 season as a late-first/early-second-round prospect, usually lumped together with Oregon’s Bo Nix and Washington’s Michael Penix Jr.