We can try to marginalize it all we want: New York City FC conceding an away goal to Atlanta United last weekend was bad, especially without scoring one of their own. And today, it was revealed just how bad that was.
FiveThirtyEight disclosed their calculations for the remainder of the MLS Cup Playoffs and each team’s chances at advancing to the next round and beyond. As it stands right now, NYCFC has the worst odds out of all remaining teams; they are currently given a 16% chance at advancing past Atlanta to the Eastern Conference Finals and an even worse chance — 8% to be specific — at getting past Columbus Crew SC or the New York Red Bulls to the MLS Cup Final.