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We're just over halfway through the 2023 NFL season, and fans are wondering whether their favorite team will make the playoffs. Sure, the standings tell us a lot, but they don't tell the whole story. Fluky wins, tough breaks, strength of schedule, tiebreakers, quarterback injuries -- they all affect a team's chances at a playoff berth.
I've broken down all 32 teams into eight playoff tiers -- from obvious Super Bowl contenders to the completely hopeless teams looking toward next season -- based on ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI), future strength of schedule, past performance metrics, future lines and a touch of gut feel.