Injuries to a bevy of key players cast a shadow over the Week 2 NFL Sunday slate, with many seeing their seasons cut short. It is an unfortunate part of football — and something that is impossible to currently model for. Injuries are inherently random, with the information that may be predictive in this area held closely by NFL teams.
Player props are shaded toward the over due to the asymmetrical distribution of the stats in question, but it’s conceivable they should lean toward the under, given a certain expectation that injuries will affect player performance. This is another reason to target unders, which continue to be profitable to start the 2020 season.