The certainty with which analysts project Hield’s shooting is rare. As Jonathan Givony articulates here, projecting a prospect’s shooting ability is tough simply because there typically isn’t enough shooting data available. Contrary to most prospects, Buddy Hield has the shooting volume to substantiate his shooting percentage. Sprinkle in a reportedly world-class work ethic and it’s hard to fathom Hield not being a great NBA shooter.
I love stats. I believe in them. But it’s easy to fall into the trap of comparing the shooting abilities of players based on statistics and neglect how/why those stats were generated.