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Measuring the cost of an NBA center against Omer Asik's new contract

After the season ended I took a stab at Omer Asik's next contract. I predicted at the time a four year, $42.6 million offer which would decrease over time and be fully guaranteed for the New Orleans Pelicans center. Instead Asik has agreed to a contract that is guaranteed for four years, $44 million with incentives and an unguaranteed fifth year that could push the value of the contract to five years, $58 million. The unguaranteed year is actually an asset for the Pelicans compared to my estimate, although the contract increasing over time instead of decreasing is a small giveaway.