All shots are not created equal. The expected goals model accounts for this by determining value for all shots, mostly driven by its location and type. Last week, I wrote about the expected goals of the 2018-19 New Jersey Devils players. Scott Martino had the following comment:
And since the Devils had a low projection to begin with, perhaps it stands to reason that goalies gifted them more goals than they should have this season. Would have to see the save %’s by danger area against the Devils to make that determination.
The expected goals model does not really go into specific danger areas.