How Far is Scott Frost from Taking Nebraska to the College Football Playoff?

Before I break this down, I need to answer some inevitable questions up front.

1. As a proxy for CFP qualifiers, which we only have since 2014, I’m using the Final AP polls. I knew there may be a few differences, but it allows an apples to apples comparison over multiple years.
2. These scoring averages only include conference games. By doing that I can eliminate the Alabama vs Mercer cupcake games.
3. In some cases, I used an average of averages. Mathematically, this is a bad idea, but for a couple of reasons I have confidence in the answers nonetheless.